蟾蜍群出、井水混浊、蟑螂涌现 广东也将大地震？
● 杨永欣（广州特派员）
先是福建省，再是深圳，近日轮到广州：蟾蜍成群出现，井水混浊，大批蟑螂从下水道涌出来甚至集体死亡……很多华南地区的民众担心，这些现象都是地震的前兆。
巴西“预言家”： 南宁和海南之间将发生9.1级强震
此外，中国网上最近也流传所谓巴西“预言家”朱瑟里诺的“惊天大预言”：“2008年9月13日中国将发生9.1级巨大地震，震源在南宁和海南之间，并引发30米高的海啸，造成数百万人死亡，并可能冲击到日本”。
种种真假难分的谣言、信息满天飞之际，记者观察到，在广州，无论是德士上或餐桌上，除了汶川大地震外，另一个热议话题就是大地震是否也会来到广东省。
不少当地媒体近日报道了“疑似地震前兆”的新闻，让广东民众心情越来越凝重。在这种氛围下，广东省地震局的两名副局长这两天先后站出来澄清，广东一带的地质活动正常，没有地震的征兆。
据本报向专家了解，虽然说地震来临前，可能会有动物、水井等出现异常反应，但这种反应也与动物的特性、季节、地质等因素有关，不一定就是地震前兆。
广东省地震局副局长吕金水在接受广东电视台访问时更说：“要做成预测的话，我们也得根据其他方面（的资料），例如地球物理场的改变、地震的小震活动等等，综合地判别才能作出预测。”
据了解，福建省的蟾蜍大量出现、井水变黄等现象，经证实后与春季繁殖期、四川地震后所引发的地质反应等有关，并不是地震前兆。
200观察站密切注意
广东地震活动正常
吕金水说，广东省地震局最近也接到很多类似现象的报告，但经调查后，也发现它们与地震无关，目前广东一带的地震活动正常。
广东省地震局另一名副局长梁干在接受广州《南方都市报》访问时明确表示，目前没有任何迹象显示广东会有地震，民众大可放心。
他进一步解释说，引起动物异常的情况很多，地震前兆一般会有多种异常现象集中出现，仅凭一两个现象就判断是地震前兆很不科学。
他也强调，地震前兆分为微观和宏观两个方面。其中微观异常包括有小地震活动、地壳形变、地球磁场电场发生异常等，这些均需要通过科学仪器来监测：“我们一直加强此方面的监测，目前为止没有一项指标出现异常。”
据了解，广东省地震局在广东全省境内安置了近200个观察站，密切注意地震活动情况。该局强调，民众无需过度惊慌，平时可以多了解防震、自救等知识。
抗震专家周福霖：
官方也不能太麻痹
另一方面，中国工程院院士、广州大学工程抗震中心主任周福霖认为，动物异常由多种原因造成，市民不用草木皆兵，但也不能麻痹大意。他认为是否是地震前兆要综合分析，市民的有相关信息应向地震部门反映，地震部门也不能太过麻痹，应积极应对，加强监测。
华南濒危动物研究所从事两栖爬行动物研究的龚诗平博士则认为，因为近来广州大雨不断，且十雨九酸，这造成蟾蜍大规模迁徙。此外，在下水道生活的蟑螂也可能因酸雨而从原栖息地逃跑出来，向更干燥的地方逃生。
至于朱瑟里诺的“惊天大预言”，海南省地震局之前也作出了正面回应，其研究员沈繁銮表示，“海南将发生9.1级大地震”的预言没有任何科学依据和观测事实。目前，海南和华南地区的地震活动水平和前兆异常情况均远低于1994年（发生了台湾海峡7.3级地震）之前的情况，中国大陆的地震活动也处于低水平，南宁与海南岛之间不可能会发生大地震和海啸。
目前中国共有四个地震带，包括天山地震带、南北地震带、华北地震带和东南沿海地震带(pray for these areas)。广东处于东南沿海地震带上，地震发生比较多的都是沿海一带，上个世纪初期，南澳岛就发生过一次7.3级的大地震。越往广东内陆去，地震活动就越少。目前来说，广东境内地震活动较多的，是河源和阳江一带，但这些地震强度都不大。
据了解，广东东部沿海多个市县的建筑物抗震设防标准要求较高，达地震烈度8度，珠江口是7度，而广州市的要求则是6至7度。
Exodus 8
The Plague of Frogs
"1 Then the LORD said to Moses, "Go to Pharaoh and say to him, 'This is what the LORD says: Let my people go, so that they may worship me. 2 If you refuse to let them go, I will plague your whole country with frogs. 3 The Nile will teem with frogs. They will come up into your palace and your bedroom and onto your bed, into the houses of your officials and on your people, and into your ovens and kneading troughs. 4 The frogs will go up on you and your people and all your officials.' "
5 Then the LORD said to Moses, "Tell Aaron, 'Stretch out your hand with your staff over the streams and canals and ponds, and make frogs come up on the land of Egypt.' "
6 So Aaron stretched out his hand over the waters of Egypt, and the frogs came up and covered the land. 7 But the magicians did the same things by their secret arts; they also made frogs come up on the land of Egypt.
8 Pharaoh summoned Moses and Aaron and said, "Pray to the LORD to take the frogs away from me and my people, and I will let your people go to offer sacrifices to the LORD."
9 Moses said to Pharaoh, "I leave to you the honor of setting the time for me to pray for you and your officials and your people that you and your houses may be rid of the frogs, except for those that remain in the Nile."
10 "Tomorrow," Pharaoh said. Moses replied, "It will be as you say, so that you may know there is no one like the LORD our God. 11 The frogs will leave you and your houses, your officials and your people; they will remain only in the Nile."
12 After Moses and Aaron left Pharaoh, Moses cried out to the LORD about the frogs he had brought on Pharaoh. 13 And the LORD did what Moses asked. The frogs died in the houses, in the courtyards and in the fields. 14 They were piled into heaps, and the land reeked of them."
Exodus 10
The Plague of Locusts
"13 So Moses stretched out his staff over Egypt, and the LORD made an east wind blow across the land all that day and all that night. By morning the wind had brought the locusts; 14 they invaded all Egypt and settled down in every area of the country in great numbers. Never before had there been such a plague of locusts, nor will there ever be again. 15 They covered all the ground until it was black. They devoured all that was left after the hail—everything growing in the fields and the fruit on the trees. Nothing green remained on tree or plant in all the land of Egypt.
16 Pharaoh quickly summoned Moses and Aaron and said, "I have sinned against the LORD your God and against you. 17 Now forgive my sin once more and pray to the LORD your God to take this deadly plague away from me."
18 Moses then left Pharaoh and prayed to the LORD. 19 And the LORD changed the wind to a very strong west wind, which caught up the locusts and carried them into the Red Sea. Not a locust was left anywhere in Egypt."
Article from: http://www.zaobao.com/zg/zg080528_504_2.shtml and the Bible.
● 杨永欣（广州特派员）
先是福建省，再是深圳，近日轮到广州：蟾蜍成群出现，井水混浊，大批蟑螂从下水道涌出来甚至集体死亡……很多华南地区的民众担心，这些现象都是地震的前兆。
巴西“预言家”： 南宁和海南之间将发生9.1级强震
此外，中国网上最近也流传所谓巴西“预言家”朱瑟里诺的“惊天大预言”：“2008年9月13日中国将发生9.1级巨大地震，震源在南宁和海南之间，并引发30米高的海啸，造成数百万人死亡，并可能冲击到日本”。
种种真假难分的谣言、信息满天飞之际，记者观察到，在广州，无论是德士上或餐桌上，除了汶川大地震外，另一个热议话题就是大地震是否也会来到广东省。
不少当地媒体近日报道了“疑似地震前兆”的新闻，让广东民众心情越来越凝重。在这种氛围下，广东省地震局的两名副局长这两天先后站出来澄清，广东一带的地质活动正常，没有地震的征兆。
据本报向专家了解，虽然说地震来临前，可能会有动物、水井等出现异常反应，但这种反应也与动物的特性、季节、地质等因素有关，不一定就是地震前兆。
广东省地震局副局长吕金水在接受广东电视台访问时更说：“要做成预测的话，我们也得根据其他方面（的资料），例如地球物理场的改变、地震的小震活动等等，综合地判别才能作出预测。”
据了解，福建省的蟾蜍大量出现、井水变黄等现象，经证实后与春季繁殖期、四川地震后所引发的地质反应等有关，并不是地震前兆。
200观察站密切注意
广东地震活动正常
吕金水说，广东省地震局最近也接到很多类似现象的报告，但经调查后，也发现它们与地震无关，目前广东一带的地震活动正常。
广东省地震局另一名副局长梁干在接受广州《南方都市报》访问时明确表示，目前没有任何迹象显示广东会有地震，民众大可放心。
他进一步解释说，引起动物异常的情况很多，地震前兆一般会有多种异常现象集中出现，仅凭一两个现象就判断是地震前兆很不科学。
他也强调，地震前兆分为微观和宏观两个方面。其中微观异常包括有小地震活动、地壳形变、地球磁场电场发生异常等，这些均需要通过科学仪器来监测：“我们一直加强此方面的监测，目前为止没有一项指标出现异常。”
据了解，广东省地震局在广东全省境内安置了近200个观察站，密切注意地震活动情况。该局强调，民众无需过度惊慌，平时可以多了解防震、自救等知识。
抗震专家周福霖：
官方也不能太麻痹
另一方面，中国工程院院士、广州大学工程抗震中心主任周福霖认为，动物异常由多种原因造成，市民不用草木皆兵，但也不能麻痹大意。他认为是否是地震前兆要综合分析，市民的有相关信息应向地震部门反映，地震部门也不能太过麻痹，应积极应对，加强监测。
华南濒危动物研究所从事两栖爬行动物研究的龚诗平博士则认为，因为近来广州大雨不断，且十雨九酸，这造成蟾蜍大规模迁徙。此外，在下水道生活的蟑螂也可能因酸雨而从原栖息地逃跑出来，向更干燥的地方逃生。
至于朱瑟里诺的“惊天大预言”，海南省地震局之前也作出了正面回应，其研究员沈繁銮表示，“海南将发生9.1级大地震”的预言没有任何科学依据和观测事实。目前，海南和华南地区的地震活动水平和前兆异常情况均远低于1994年（发生了台湾海峡7.3级地震）之前的情况，中国大陆的地震活动也处于低水平，南宁与海南岛之间不可能会发生大地震和海啸。
目前中国共有四个地震带，包括天山地震带、南北地震带、华北地震带和东南沿海地震带(pray for these areas)。广东处于东南沿海地震带上，地震发生比较多的都是沿海一带，上个世纪初期，南澳岛就发生过一次7.3级的大地震。越往广东内陆去，地震活动就越少。目前来说，广东境内地震活动较多的，是河源和阳江一带，但这些地震强度都不大。
据了解，广东东部沿海多个市县的建筑物抗震设防标准要求较高，达地震烈度8度，珠江口是7度，而广州市的要求则是6至7度。
Exodus 8
The Plague of Frogs
"1 Then the LORD said to Moses, "Go to Pharaoh and say to him, 'This is what the LORD says: Let my people go, so that they may worship me. 2 If you refuse to let them go, I will plague your whole country with frogs. 3 The Nile will teem with frogs. They will come up into your palace and your bedroom and onto your bed, into the houses of your officials and on your people, and into your ovens and kneading troughs. 4 The frogs will go up on you and your people and all your officials.' "
5 Then the LORD said to Moses, "Tell Aaron, 'Stretch out your hand with your staff over the streams and canals and ponds, and make frogs come up on the land of Egypt.' "
6 So Aaron stretched out his hand over the waters of Egypt, and the frogs came up and covered the land. 7 But the magicians did the same things by their secret arts; they also made frogs come up on the land of Egypt.
8 Pharaoh summoned Moses and Aaron and said, "Pray to the LORD to take the frogs away from me and my people, and I will let your people go to offer sacrifices to the LORD."
9 Moses said to Pharaoh, "I leave to you the honor of setting the time for me to pray for you and your officials and your people that you and your houses may be rid of the frogs, except for those that remain in the Nile."
10 "Tomorrow," Pharaoh said. Moses replied, "It will be as you say, so that you may know there is no one like the LORD our God. 11 The frogs will leave you and your houses, your officials and your people; they will remain only in the Nile."
12 After Moses and Aaron left Pharaoh, Moses cried out to the LORD about the frogs he had brought on Pharaoh. 13 And the LORD did what Moses asked. The frogs died in the houses, in the courtyards and in the fields. 14 They were piled into heaps, and the land reeked of them."
Exodus 10
The Plague of Locusts
"13 So Moses stretched out his staff over Egypt, and the LORD made an east wind blow across the land all that day and all that night. By morning the wind had brought the locusts; 14 they invaded all Egypt and settled down in every area of the country in great numbers. Never before had there been such a plague of locusts, nor will there ever be again. 15 They covered all the ground until it was black. They devoured all that was left after the hail—everything growing in the fields and the fruit on the trees. Nothing green remained on tree or plant in all the land of Egypt.
16 Pharaoh quickly summoned Moses and Aaron and said, "I have sinned against the LORD your God and against you. 17 Now forgive my sin once more and pray to the LORD your God to take this deadly plague away from me."
18 Moses then left Pharaoh and prayed to the LORD. 19 And the LORD changed the wind to a very strong west wind, which caught up the locusts and carried them into the Red Sea. Not a locust was left anywhere in Egypt."
Article from: http://www.zaobao.com/zg/zg080528_504_2.shtml and the Bible.
Picture from: 美联社 ; 联合早报网; 编辑：王婉瑗
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